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Chapter 27: The Basic Tools of Finance
Recent Posts

 

October 28

Is the Efficient Markets Hypothesis Kaput?

Jeremy Siegal argues that the current financial crisis has not discredited the efficient market hypothesis.

Textbook References:

Pages 606-607 “The Efficient Market Hypothesis”
Pages 654-655 “The Financial Crisis of 2008”

October 24

A Defense of Insider Trading

Donald Boudreaux argues that insider trading is "impossible to police and helpful to markets and investors."

Textbook References:

Pages 8-10 “Principle 6: Markets Are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity”
Pages 10-12 “Principle 7: Governments Can Sometimes Improve Market Outcomes”
Pages 606-607 “The Efficient Market Hypothesis”

October 23

How Harvard Economists Invest

Three Harvard economists explain their personal investment strategies.

Textbook References:

Pages 600-606 “Managing Risk”


October 14

Maskin on the Financial Crisis

Nobel laureate Eric Maskin discusses the financial crisis. He contends that economists did anticipate the crisis but that policymakers did not listen. He also provides a reading list on the subject.

Textbook References:

Pages 484-485 “Hidden Actions: Principals, Agents, and Moral Hazard”
Pages 601-603 “The Markets for Insurance”
Pages 642-643 “The Functions of Money”
Pages 649-658 “Banks and the Money Supply”
Pages 779-781 “The Theory of Liquidity Preference”
Pages 783-785 “Changes in the Money Supply”


September 24

Posner on Keynes

Richard Posner discusses why he became a Keynesian after reading The General Theory.

Textbook Reference:

Pages 609-610 “Market Irrationality”
Page 770 “The Origins of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply”
Pages 779-781 “The Theory of Liquidity Preferences”
Pages 794-795 “The Case for Active Stabilization Policy”


September 20

Book Review

Mankiw reviews Robert Skidelsky’s new book, “Keynes: the Return of the Master.”

Textbook Reference:

Pages 609-610 “Market Irrationality”
Page 770 “The Origins of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply”
Pages 779-781 “The Theory of Liquidity Preferences”
Pages 794-795 “The Case for Active Stabilization Policy”


September 19

Levine on Macro

David Levine accuses Paul Krugman of ignoring advances in modern macroeconomics.

Textbook References:

Pages 494-500 “Behavioral Economics”
Pages 606-610 “Asset Valuation”
Chapter 33 “Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply”
Chapter 34 “The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand”
Chapter 35 “The Short-Run Trade-off between Inflation and Unemployment”
Chapter 36 “Five Debates over Macroeconomic Policy”


September 17

Kocherlakota on Macro

Narayana Kocherlakota makes ten claims about the state of modern macroeconomics.

Textbook References:

Pages 494-500 “Behavioral Economics”
Pages 606-610 “Asset Valuation”
Chapter 33 “Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply”
Chapter 34 “The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand”
Chapter 35 “The Short-Run Trade-off between Inflation and Unemployment”
Chapter 36 “Five Debates over Macroeconomic Policy”

Chapter 27: The Basic Tools of Finance
Archived Posts

 

September 10

How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?

Barry Eichengreen and John Cochrane defend economic theory in the face of the current crisis.

Textbook References:

Pages 494-500 “Behavioral Economics”
Pages 606-610 “Asset Valuation”
Pages 751-761 “The Aggregate Supply Curve”
Chapter 34 “The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand”
Pages 817-818 “Rational Expectations and the Possibility of Costless Deflation”
Chapter 36 “Five Debates over Macroeconomic Policy”


September 3

Krugman on Macro

Paul Krugman argues that most macroeconomists have preferred beauty to truth.

Textbook References:

Pages 494-500 “Behavioral Economics”
Pages 606-610 “Asset Valuation”
Pages 751-761 “The Aggregate Supply Curve”
Chapter 34 “The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand”
Pages 817-818 “Rational Expectations and the Possibility of Costless Deflation”
Chapter 36 “Five Debates over Macroeconomic Policy”


June 26

Was Keynes Really a Savvy Investor?

It’s easy to make money if one has unlimited funds.

Textbook References:

Pages 606-610 “Asset Valuation”
Pages 654-655 “The Financial Crisis of 2008”


Apr. 15

Yale Economists on the Financial Crisis

Robert Shiller, John Geanakoplos and Richard Levin discuss the financial crisis in a one-hour video. The roles of psychology and of leverage are emphasized.

Textbook References:

Pages 494-500 “Behavioral Economics”
Pages 498-499 “This Is Your Brain on Economics”
Pages 576-578 “Financial Markets”
Pages 608-609 “Neurofinance”
Pages 654-655 “The Financial Crisis of 2008”
Pages 778-787 “How Monetary Policy Influences Aggregate Demand”

A Lecture from Robert Merton

Robert Merton discusses derivatives, with an emphasis on put options.

Textbook Reference:

Chapter 27 “The Basic Tools Finance”


Mar. 29

Forecasting as Futuristic Fiction

Robert Shiller reports on how paying attention to peoples’ mind-sets can be useful in forecasting economic performance.

Textbook References:

Pages 498-499 “This Is Your Brain on Economics”
Pages 608-609 “Neurofinance”
Pages 654-655 “The Financial Crisis of 2008”


Mar. 22

Sumner on Financial Regulation

Scott Sumner defends the efficient market hypothesis and denies that more regulation would’ve prevented the financial melt-down.

Textbook References:

Pages 8-10 “Principle 6: Markets are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity”
Pages 10-12 “Principle 7: Governments Can Sometimes Improve Market Outcomes”
Pages 606-609 “The Efficient Market Hypothesis”


Feb. 25

The Formula that Killed Wall Street

There is a link to an article about David Li, who developed the formula that had a central role in the financial meltdown.

Textbook References:

Pages 576-580 “Financial Institutions in the U.S. Economy”
Chapter 27 “The Basic Tools of Finance”

Gleaser on the Mortgage Interest Deduction

Ed Gleaser argues that the tax deduction on mortgage interest payments should be limited to loans up to $300,000.

Textbook References:

Pages 7-8 “Principle 4: People Respond to Incentives”
Chapter 12 “The Design of the Tax System”
Pages 609-610 “Market Irrationality”
Pages 654-655 “The Financial Crisis of 2008”
Page 821 “Bernanke’s Challenges”


Feb. 15

Talking Down the Economy

Bradley Schiller says that the doom and gloom coming out of the Whitehouse is dangerous. Mankiw disagrees.

Textbook References:

Pages 608-609 “Neurofinance”
Page 749 “Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Might Shift”


Jan. 27

Shiller on Animal Spirits

Robert Shiller argues that restoring confidence is important.

Textbook Reference:

Pages 608-609 “Neurofinance”
Pages 749-750 “Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Might Shift”


Jan. 13

There is a graph and a link to commentary by Nick Bloom and Max Floetotto. They suggest that uncertainty has declined and the economy will begin to recover soon.

Textbook References:

Page 608-609 “Neurofinance”
Chapter 33 “Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply”


Jan. 8

There is a link to a blog by Eugene Fama and Ken French. Fama discusses the problem of how government injections of equity capital into troubled financial institutions can easily become nothing more than subsidies to debt holders.

Textbook References:

Pages 576-578 “Financial Markets”
Pages 601-603 “The Markets for Insurance”
Page 657 “Bank Runs and the Money Supply”
s Pages 778-785 “How Monetary Policy Influences Aggregate Demand”


Dec. 7

Life in the Left Tail

Mankiw shows a graph of the distribution of stock-market returns from 1825 to the present. 2008 is in the far left tail.

Textbook References:

Pages 577-579 “The Stock Market”
Pages 608-609 “Lessons from the Brain-Damaged Investor”
Pages 609-610 “Market Irrationality”
Page 767 “The Recession of 2001”